更新:到目前为止表现最好的算法是这个。


这个问题探讨了在实时时间序列数据中检测突然峰值的稳健算法。

考虑以下示例数据:

这个数据的例子是Matlab格式的(但这个问题不是关于语言,而是关于算法):

p = [1 1 1.1 1 0.9 1 1 1.1 1 0.9 1 1.1 1 1 0.9 1 1 1.1 1 1 1 1 1.1 0.9 1 1.1 1 1 0.9, ...
     1 1.1 1 1 1.1 1 0.8 0.9 1 1.2 0.9 1 1 1.1 1.2 1 1.5 1 3 2 5 3 2 1 1 1 0.9 1 1, ... 
     3 2.6 4 3 3.2 2 1 1 0.8 4 4 2 2.5 1 1 1];

你可以清楚地看到有三个大峰和一些小峰。这个数据集是问题所涉及的时间序列数据集类的一个特定示例。这类数据集有两个一般特征:

有一种具有一般平均值的基本噪声 有很大的“峰值”或“更高的数据点”明显偏离噪声。

让我们假设以下情况:

峰的宽度不能事先确定 峰的高度明显偏离其他值 算法实时更新(因此每个新数据点都会更新)

对于这种情况,需要构造一个触发信号的边值。但是,边界值不能是静态的,必须通过算法实时确定。


我的问题是:什么是实时计算这些阈值的好算法?有没有针对这种情况的特定算法?最著名的算法是什么?


健壮的算法或有用的见解都受到高度赞赏。(可以用任何语言回答:这是关于算法的)


当前回答

以下是平滑z-score算法的Scala版本(非惯用):

/**
  * Smoothed zero-score alogrithm shamelessly copied from https://stackoverflow.com/a/22640362/6029703
  * Uses a rolling mean and a rolling deviation (separate) to identify peaks in a vector
  *
  * @param y - The input vector to analyze
  * @param lag - The lag of the moving window (i.e. how big the window is)
  * @param threshold - The z-score at which the algorithm signals (i.e. how many standard deviations away from the moving mean a peak (or signal) is)
  * @param influence - The influence (between 0 and 1) of new signals on the mean and standard deviation (how much a peak (or signal) should affect other values near it)
  * @return - The calculated averages (avgFilter) and deviations (stdFilter), and the signals (signals)
  */
private def smoothedZScore(y: Seq[Double], lag: Int, threshold: Double, influence: Double): Seq[Int] = {
  val stats = new SummaryStatistics()

  // the results (peaks, 1 or -1) of our algorithm
  val signals = mutable.ArrayBuffer.fill(y.length)(0)

  // filter out the signals (peaks) from our original list (using influence arg)
  val filteredY = y.to[mutable.ArrayBuffer]

  // the current average of the rolling window
  val avgFilter = mutable.ArrayBuffer.fill(y.length)(0d)

  // the current standard deviation of the rolling window
  val stdFilter = mutable.ArrayBuffer.fill(y.length)(0d)

  // init avgFilter and stdFilter
  y.take(lag).foreach(s => stats.addValue(s))

  avgFilter(lag - 1) = stats.getMean
  stdFilter(lag - 1) = Math.sqrt(stats.getPopulationVariance) // getStandardDeviation() uses sample variance (not what we want)

  // loop input starting at end of rolling window
  y.zipWithIndex.slice(lag, y.length - 1).foreach {
    case (s: Double, i: Int) =>
      // if the distance between the current value and average is enough standard deviations (threshold) away
      if (Math.abs(s - avgFilter(i - 1)) > threshold * stdFilter(i - 1)) {
        // this is a signal (i.e. peak), determine if it is a positive or negative signal
        signals(i) = if (s > avgFilter(i - 1)) 1 else -1
        // filter this signal out using influence
        filteredY(i) = (influence * s) + ((1 - influence) * filteredY(i - 1))
      } else {
        // ensure this signal remains a zero
        signals(i) = 0
        // ensure this value is not filtered
        filteredY(i) = s
      }

      // update rolling average and deviation
      stats.clear()
      filteredY.slice(i - lag, i).foreach(s => stats.addValue(s))
      avgFilter(i) = stats.getMean
      stdFilter(i) = Math.sqrt(stats.getPopulationVariance) // getStandardDeviation() uses sample variance (not what we want)
  }

  println(y.length)
  println(signals.length)
  println(signals)

  signals.zipWithIndex.foreach {
    case(x: Int, idx: Int) =>
      if (x == 1) {
        println(idx + " " + y(idx))
      }
  }

  val data =
    y.zipWithIndex.map { case (s: Double, i: Int) => Map("x" -> i, "y" -> s, "name" -> "y", "row" -> "data") } ++
    avgFilter.zipWithIndex.map { case (s: Double, i: Int) => Map("x" -> i, "y" -> s, "name" -> "avgFilter", "row" -> "data") } ++
    avgFilter.zipWithIndex.map { case (s: Double, i: Int) => Map("x" -> i, "y" -> (s - threshold * stdFilter(i)), "name" -> "lower", "row" -> "data") } ++
    avgFilter.zipWithIndex.map { case (s: Double, i: Int) => Map("x" -> i, "y" -> (s + threshold * stdFilter(i)), "name" -> "upper", "row" -> "data") } ++
    signals.zipWithIndex.map { case (s: Int, i: Int) => Map("x" -> i, "y" -> s, "name" -> "signal", "row" -> "signal") }

  Vegas("Smoothed Z")
    .withData(data)
    .mark(Line)
    .encodeX("x", Quant)
    .encodeY("y", Quant)
    .encodeColor(
      field="name",
      dataType=Nominal
    )
    .encodeRow("row", Ordinal)
    .show

  return signals
}

下面是一个测试,返回与Python和Groovy版本相同的结果:

val y = List(1d, 1d, 1.1d, 1d, 0.9d, 1d, 1d, 1.1d, 1d, 0.9d, 1d, 1.1d, 1d, 1d, 0.9d, 1d, 1d, 1.1d, 1d, 1d,
  1d, 1d, 1.1d, 0.9d, 1d, 1.1d, 1d, 1d, 0.9d, 1d, 1.1d, 1d, 1d, 1.1d, 1d, 0.8d, 0.9d, 1d, 1.2d, 0.9d, 1d,
  1d, 1.1d, 1.2d, 1d, 1.5d, 1d, 3d, 2d, 5d, 3d, 2d, 1d, 1d, 1d, 0.9d, 1d,
  1d, 3d, 2.6d, 4d, 3d, 3.2d, 2d, 1d, 1d, 0.8d, 4d, 4d, 2d, 2.5d, 1d, 1d, 1d)

val lag = 30
val threshold = 5d
val influence = 0d

smoothedZScore(y, lag, threshold, influence)

这里的要点

其他回答

用现代c++实现的面向对象版z-score算法

template<typename T>
class FindPeaks{
private:
    std::vector<T> m_input_signal;                      // stores input vector
    std::vector<T> m_array_peak_positive;               
    std::vector<T> m_array_peak_negative;               

public:
    FindPeaks(const std::vector<T>& t_input_signal): m_input_signal{t_input_signal}{ }

    void estimate(){
        int lag{5};
        T threshold{ 5 };                                                                                       // set a threshold
        T influence{ 0.5 };                                                                                    // value between 0 to 1, 1 is normal influence and 0.5 is half the influence

        std::vector<T> filtered_signal(m_input_signal.size(), 0.0);                                             // placeholdered for smooth signal, initialie with all zeros
        std::vector<int> signal(m_input_signal.size(), 0);                                                          // vector that stores where the negative and positive located
        std::vector<T> avg_filtered(m_input_signal.size(), 0.0);                                                // moving averages
        std::vector<T> std_filtered(m_input_signal.size(), 0.0);                                                // moving standard deviation

        avg_filtered[lag] = findMean(m_input_signal.begin(), m_input_signal.begin() + lag);                         // pass the iteartor to vector
        std_filtered[lag] = findStandardDeviation(m_input_signal.begin(), m_input_signal.begin() + lag);

        for (size_t iLag = lag + 1; iLag < m_input_signal.size(); ++iLag) {                                         // start index frm 
            if (std::abs(m_input_signal[iLag] - avg_filtered[iLag - 1]) > threshold * std_filtered[iLag - 1]) {     // check if value is above threhold             
                if ((m_input_signal[iLag]) > avg_filtered[iLag - 1]) {
                    signal[iLag] = 1;                                                                               // assign positive signal
                }
                else {
                    signal[iLag] = -1;                                                                                  // assign negative signal
                }
                filtered_signal[iLag] = influence * m_input_signal[iLag] + (1 - influence) * filtered_signal[iLag - 1];        // exponential smoothing
            }
            else {
                signal[iLag] = 0;                                                                                         // no signal
                filtered_signal[iLag] = m_input_signal[iLag];
            }

            avg_filtered[iLag] = findMean(filtered_signal.begin() + (iLag - lag), filtered_signal.begin() + iLag);
            std_filtered[iLag] = findStandardDeviation(filtered_signal.begin() + (iLag - lag), filtered_signal.begin() + iLag);

        }

        for (size_t iSignal = 0; iSignal < m_input_signal.size(); ++iSignal) {
            if (signal[iSignal] == 1) {
                m_array_peak_positive.emplace_back(m_input_signal[iSignal]);                                        // store the positive peaks
            }
            else if (signal[iSignal] == -1) {
                m_array_peak_negative.emplace_back(m_input_signal[iSignal]);                                         // store the negative peaks
            }
        }
        printVoltagePeaks(signal, m_input_signal);

    }

    std::pair< std::vector<T>, std::vector<T> > get_peaks()
    {
        return std::make_pair(m_array_peak_negative, m_array_peak_negative);
    }

};


template<typename T1, typename T2 >
void printVoltagePeaks(std::vector<T1>& m_signal, std::vector<T2>& m_input_signal) {
    std::ofstream output_file("./voltage_peak.csv");
    std::ostream_iterator<T2> output_iterator_voltage(output_file, ",");
    std::ostream_iterator<T1> output_iterator_signal(output_file, ",");
    std::copy(m_input_signal.begin(), m_input_signal.end(), output_iterator_voltage);
    output_file << "\n";
    std::copy(m_signal.begin(), m_signal.end(), output_iterator_signal);
}

template<typename iterator_type>
typename std::iterator_traits<iterator_type>::value_type findMean(iterator_type it, iterator_type end)
{
    /* function that receives iterator to*/
    typename std::iterator_traits<iterator_type>::value_type sum{ 0.0 };
    int counter = 0;
    while (it != end) {
        sum += *(it++);
        counter++;
    }
    return sum / counter;
}

template<typename iterator_type>
typename std::iterator_traits<iterator_type>::value_type findStandardDeviation(iterator_type it, iterator_type end)
{
    auto mean = findMean(it, end);
    typename std::iterator_traits<iterator_type>::value_type sum_squared_error{ 0.0 };
    int counter{ 0 };
    while (it != end) {
        sum_squared_error += std::pow((*(it++) - mean), 2);
        counter++;
    }
    auto standard_deviation = std::sqrt(sum_squared_error / (counter - 1));
    return standard_deviation;
}

下面是平滑z-score算法的Python / numpy实现(见上面的答案)。你可以在这里找到要点。

#!/usr/bin/env python
# Implementation of algorithm from https://stackoverflow.com/a/22640362/6029703
import numpy as np
import pylab

def thresholding_algo(y, lag, threshold, influence):
    signals = np.zeros(len(y))
    filteredY = np.array(y)
    avgFilter = [0]*len(y)
    stdFilter = [0]*len(y)
    avgFilter[lag - 1] = np.mean(y[0:lag])
    stdFilter[lag - 1] = np.std(y[0:lag])
    for i in range(lag, len(y)):
        if abs(y[i] - avgFilter[i-1]) > threshold * stdFilter [i-1]:
            if y[i] > avgFilter[i-1]:
                signals[i] = 1
            else:
                signals[i] = -1

            filteredY[i] = influence * y[i] + (1 - influence) * filteredY[i-1]
            avgFilter[i] = np.mean(filteredY[(i-lag+1):i+1])
            stdFilter[i] = np.std(filteredY[(i-lag+1):i+1])
        else:
            signals[i] = 0
            filteredY[i] = y[i]
            avgFilter[i] = np.mean(filteredY[(i-lag+1):i+1])
            stdFilter[i] = np.std(filteredY[(i-lag+1):i+1])

    return dict(signals = np.asarray(signals),
                avgFilter = np.asarray(avgFilter),
                stdFilter = np.asarray(stdFilter))

下面是在同一个数据集上的测试,它产生的图与R/Matlab的原始答案相同

# Data
y = np.array([1,1,1.1,1,0.9,1,1,1.1,1,0.9,1,1.1,1,1,0.9,1,1,1.1,1,1,1,1,1.1,0.9,1,1.1,1,1,0.9,
       1,1.1,1,1,1.1,1,0.8,0.9,1,1.2,0.9,1,1,1.1,1.2,1,1.5,1,3,2,5,3,2,1,1,1,0.9,1,1,3,
       2.6,4,3,3.2,2,1,1,0.8,4,4,2,2.5,1,1,1])

# Settings: lag = 30, threshold = 5, influence = 0
lag = 30
threshold = 5
influence = 0

# Run algo with settings from above
result = thresholding_algo(y, lag=lag, threshold=threshold, influence=influence)

# Plot result
pylab.subplot(211)
pylab.plot(np.arange(1, len(y)+1), y)

pylab.plot(np.arange(1, len(y)+1),
           result["avgFilter"], color="cyan", lw=2)

pylab.plot(np.arange(1, len(y)+1),
           result["avgFilter"] + threshold * result["stdFilter"], color="green", lw=2)

pylab.plot(np.arange(1, len(y)+1),
           result["avgFilter"] - threshold * result["stdFilter"], color="green", lw=2)

pylab.subplot(212)
pylab.step(np.arange(1, len(y)+1), result["signals"], color="red", lw=2)
pylab.ylim(-1.5, 1.5)
pylab.show()

这种z-scores方法在峰值检测方面非常有效,也有助于异常值的去除。异常值对话经常讨论每个点的统计价值和变化数据的伦理。

但是,在来自易出错的串行通信或易出错的传感器的重复错误传感器值的情况下,错误或虚假读数中没有统计值。它们需要被识别并移除。

从视觉上看,错误是显而易见的。下图中的直线显示了需要删除的内容。但是用算法识别和消除错误是相当具有挑战性的。z分数效果很好。

下图是通过串行通信从传感器获得的值。偶尔的串行通信错误,传感器错误或两者都导致重复的,明显错误的数据点。

z-score峰值检测器能够在虚假数据点上发出信号,并生成一个干净的结果数据集,同时保留正确数据的特征:

c++ (Qt)演示端口,交互式参数

我已经将这个算法的演示应用程序移植到c++ (Qt)上。

代码可以在GitHub上找到这里。带有安装程序的Windows(64位)构建在发布页面上。最后,我将添加一些文档和其他发布版本。

您不能绘制点,但可以从文本文件中导入它们(用空格分隔点——换行也算作空格)。您还可以调整算法参数,实时查看效果。这对于针对特定数据集调整算法以及探索参数如何影响结果非常有用。


上面的截图有些过时;从那以后,我添加了两个原始算法中没有的实验性选项:

反向处理数据集的选项(似乎至少改善了功率谱的结果)。 选项,为峰值设置硬性最小阈值。

我还在窗口中间添加了一个笨拙的缩放/平移条,只需用鼠标拖动它来缩放和平移。

模糊的构建指令:

在发布页面上有一个Windows安装程序(64位),但如果你想从源代码构建它,要点是:

安装Qt的构建工具,然后将qmake && make放在与.pro文件相同的目录下,或者 安装Qt Creator,打开.pro文件,选择任何默认的构建配置,然后按下构建和/或运行按钮(Creator的左下角)。

我只测试过Qt5。我有91%的信心,如果你手动配置组件,Qt Creator安装程序会让你安装Qt5(如果你手动配置组件,你还需要确认是否安装了Qt Charts)。Qt6可能是一个流畅的构建,也可能不是。有一天,我将测试Qt4和Qt6,使这些文档更好。也许吧。

这是一个修改后的Fortran版本的z-score算法。 它是专门针对频率空间中传递函数的峰值(共振)检测进行修改的(每个更改在代码中都有一个小注释)。

如果在输入向量的下界附近存在共振,则第一个修改会向用户发出警告,该共振由高于某个阈值的标准偏差表示(在本例中为10%)。这仅仅意味着信号不够平坦,不足以使检测正确地初始化滤波器。

第二种修改是只将峰值的最大值添加到已找到的峰值中。这是通过将每个发现的峰值与其(滞后)前辈及其(滞后)后继者的大小进行比较来达到的。

第三个变化是尊重共振峰通常在共振频率周围表现出某种形式的对称性。因此,围绕当前数据点对称地计算平均值和std是很自然的(而不仅仅是针对之前的数据点)。这将导致更好的峰值检测行为。

这些修改的效果是,整个信号必须事先被函数知道,这是共振检测的通常情况(类似于Jean-Paul的Matlab示例,其中数据点是动态生成的,这是行不通的)。

function PeakDetect(y,lag,threshold, influence)
    implicit none
    ! Declaring part
    real, dimension(:), intent(in) :: y
    integer, dimension(size(y)) :: PeakDetect
    real, dimension(size(y)) :: filteredY, avgFilter, stdFilter
    integer :: lag, ii
    real :: threshold, influence

    ! Executing part
    PeakDetect = 0
    filteredY = 0.0
    filteredY(1:lag+1) = y(1:lag+1)
    avgFilter = 0.0
    avgFilter(lag+1) = mean(y(1:2*lag+1))
    stdFilter = 0.0
    stdFilter(lag+1) = std(y(1:2*lag+1))

    if (stdFilter(lag+1)/avgFilter(lag+1)>0.1) then ! If the coefficient of variation exceeds 10%, the signal is too uneven at the start, possibly because of a peak.
        write(unit=*,fmt=1001)
1001        format(1X,'Warning: Peak detection might have failed, as there may be a peak at the edge of the frequency range.',/)
    end if
    do ii = lag+2, size(y)
        if (abs(y(ii) - avgFilter(ii-1)) > threshold * stdFilter(ii-1)) then
            ! Find only the largest outstanding value which is only the one greater than its predecessor and its successor
            if (y(ii) > avgFilter(ii-1) .AND. y(ii) > y(ii-1) .AND. y(ii) > y(ii+1)) then
                PeakDetect(ii) = 1
            end if
            filteredY(ii) = influence * y(ii) + (1 - influence) * filteredY(ii-1)
        else
            filteredY(ii) = y(ii)
        end if
        ! Modified with respect to the original code. Mean and standard deviation are calculted symmetrically around the current point
        avgFilter(ii) = mean(filteredY(ii-lag:ii+lag))
        stdFilter(ii) = std(filteredY(ii-lag:ii+lag))
    end do
end function PeakDetect

real function mean(y)
    !> @brief Calculates the mean of vector y
    implicit none
    ! Declaring part
    real, dimension(:), intent(in) :: y
    integer :: N
    ! Executing part
    N = max(1,size(y))
    mean = sum(y)/N
end function mean

real function std(y)
    !> @brief Calculates the standard deviation of vector y
    implicit none
    ! Declaring part
    real, dimension(:), intent(in) :: y
    integer :: N
    ! Executing part
    N = max(1,size(y))
    std = sqrt((N*dot_product(y,y) - sum(y)**2) / (N*(N-1)))
end function std

对于我的应用程序,算法的工作就像一个魅力!